Federal procurement forecasts: how we compare
They sell a subscription.
We sell the file.
GovTribe lists $1,900 a year for one seat. HigherGov starts at $500 a year. GovWin IQ publishes no price. We sell 38,394 federal forecast records from 31 agency sources as one CSV for $189. Pulled fresh from every source when you buy.
38,394 forecast records, $189GovWin IQ
No public price
Deltek publishes no price. Its analysts write notes on each buy.
GovTribe
$1,900/yr
One seat. Five seats cost $7,000 a year.
HigherGov
$500/yr
One user, exports of 1,000 records per search. $2,500 for ten users.
LocationLists
$189
One CSV, 38,394 rows, 111 columns. Yours to keep.
Two kinds of row
The record_type column says which kind each row is.
26,248
planned purchases
Buys an agency plans, from its procurement forecast.
12,146
expiring contracts
Contracts in force, from agency lists of expiring contracts. The re-buy is the lead.
Was it already awarded?
We look for each past-due planned purchase in SAM.gov award notices and USAspending.
1,005
awarded
Winner named. 4 of 4 right in a hand check.
12,653
no award found
Date passed, no match. Not proof the buy is open.
10,547
not yet due
Expected award date still ahead.
Agencies rarely revise a forecast. 57% of planned purchases with an expected award date are past it.
Where the forecasts come from
31 sources across 24 departments and 244 sub-agencies.
| Department | Rows | Sub-agencies | Our sources |
|---|---|---|---|
| Department of DefenseAFCEC planning task orders; Air Force expiring-contract lists; DTRA forecast; Defense Health Agency LRAF; Forecast files on SAM.gov notices; Marine Corps LRAEs; Military Sealift Command schedules; NAVFAC workload projections; National Guard Bureau forecasts; Navy warfare center LRAEs; ONR and NRL LRAE; Space Force Combat Forces Command; Space Launch Delta 45; Washington Headquarters Services | 19,498 | 11 | AFCEC planning task orders; Air Force expiring-contract lists; DTRA forecast; Defense Health Agency LRAF; Forecast files on SAM.gov notices; Marine Corps LRAEs; Military Sealift Command schedules; NAVFAC workload projections; National Guard Bureau forecasts; Navy warfare center LRAEs; ONR and NRL LRAE; Space Force Combat Forces Command; Space Launch Delta 45; Washington Headquarters Services |
| Department of the InteriorGSA Acquisition Gateway | 5,004 | 13 | GSA Acquisition Gateway |
| Department of Health and Human ServicesHHS forecast | 3,027 | 8 | HHS forecast |
| Department of AgricultureGSA Acquisition Gateway | 2,519 | 10 | GSA Acquisition Gateway |
| Department of CommerceGSA Acquisition Gateway; USPTO forecast | 1,607 | 12 | GSA Acquisition Gateway; USPTO forecast |
| Department of TransportationGSA Acquisition Gateway | 1,084 | 8 | GSA Acquisition Gateway |
| Department of EnergyDOE current contracts list | 968 | 50 | DOE current contracts list |
| Department of StateGSA Acquisition Gateway; State Department forecast | 862 | 24 | GSA Acquisition Gateway; State Department forecast |
| Department of Veterans AffairsGSA Acquisition Gateway | 687 | 5 | GSA Acquisition Gateway |
| Department of Homeland SecurityDHS APFS | 656 | 10 | DHS APFS |
| Environmental Protection AgencyEPA forecast database | 615 | 20 | EPA forecast database |
| Department of JusticeDOJ forecast | 571 | 8 | DOJ forecast |
| Department of EducationGSA Acquisition Gateway | 240 | not stated | GSA Acquisition Gateway |
| Department of Housing and Urban DevelopmentHUD and HUD OIG forecast | 213 | 14 | HUD and HUD OIG forecast |
| General Services AdministrationGSA Acquisition Gateway | 200 | 7 | GSA Acquisition Gateway |
| Department of LaborGSA Acquisition Gateway | 140 | 10 | GSA Acquisition Gateway |
| National Aeronautics and Space AdministrationNASA acquisition forecast | 136 | 12 | NASA acquisition forecast |
| Millennium Challenge CorporationMillennium Challenge Corporation | 90 | 5 | Millennium Challenge Corporation |
| Nuclear Regulatory CommissionGSA Acquisition Gateway | 89 | not stated | GSA Acquisition Gateway |
| Social Security AdministrationSSA forecast | 81 | 8 | SSA forecast |
| Federal Housing Finance AgencyFHFA forecast | 41 | not stated | FHFA forecast |
| Department of the TreasuryTreasury OSDBU forecast | 40 | 4 | Treasury OSDBU forecast |
| Securities and Exchange CommissionSEC forecast | 19 | not stated | SEC forecast |
| National Science FoundationNSF forecast | 7 | 5 | NSF forecast |
GovTribe names eight forecast sources
GSA Acquisition Gateway, Navy LRAE, DHS APFS, USAID (no longer updated), Commerce, Treasury, HHS, DOJ.
HigherGov says it has more than 70
We have not checked its list, so we claim no lead over it on sources.
Field by field
Their fields come from HigherGov’s public forecast pages and GovTribe’s export columns. Filled is the share of our rows with a value. A dash means the field is not in their list.
HigherGov fields in our file
30 of 31
18 of 31 are filled on half our rows or more.
GovTribe fields in our file
21 of 25
14 of 25 are filled on half our rows or more.
| Field | Our column | Filled | HigherGov | GovTribe |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Title / nametitle | title | 100% | ||
| Record typerecord_type | record_type | 100% | ||
| Descriptiondescription | description | 90% | ||
| Most recent descriptionnot in our file | not in our file | |||
| Value low / floorestimated_value_low | estimated_value_low | 85% | ||
| Value high / ceilingestimated_value_high | estimated_value_high | 96% | ||
| Est. solicitation dateexpected_solicitation_date | expected_solicitation_date | 58% | ||
| Est. award dateexpected_award_date | expected_award_date | 87% | ||
| Award end datepop_end | pop_end | 4% | ||
| NAICSnaics | naics | 88% | ||
| PSCpsc | psc | 42% | ||
| Set-asideset_aside | set_aside | 52% | ||
| Pricingcontract_type | contract_type | 27% | ||
| Procurement methodcompetition_type, award_type, contract_vehicle | competition_type, award_type, contract_vehicle | 80% | ||
| Forecast typeforecast_type | forecast_type | 35% | ||
| Place of performancepop_city, pop_state, pop_country | pop_city, pop_state, pop_country | 47% | ||
| Forecast sourcesource | source | 100% | ||
| Agency (normalized)agency_normalized | agency_normalized | 100% | ||
| Source agency level 1department | department | 100% | ||
| Source agency level 2sub_agency | sub_agency | 100% | ||
| Source agency level 3office | office | 67% | ||
| Incumbentincumbent | incumbent | 50% | ||
| Incumbent award IDexisting_contract_number | existing_contract_number | 45% | ||
| Incumbent valueincumbent_contract_value, incumbent_obligated | incumbent_contract_value, incumbent_obligated | 45% | ||
| Incumbent period of performanceincumbent_contract_end, incumbent_potential_end | incumbent_contract_end, incumbent_potential_end | 41% | ||
| POC namecontact_name | contact_name | 56% | ||
| POC emailcontact_email | contact_email | 62% | ||
| POC phonecontact_phone | contact_phone | 2% | ||
| POC 2 namecontact2_name | contact2_name | 11% | ||
| POC 2 emailcontact2_email | contact2_email | 11% | ||
| POC 2 phonenot in our file | not in our file | |||
| Small-business specialistsb_specialist_email, sb_specialist_name | sb_specialist_email, sb_specialist_name | 43% | ||
| Small business officesb_office | sb_office | 3% | ||
| Date publishedsource_published_date, source_created_date | source_published_date, source_created_date | 45% | ||
| Updated atsource_updated_date | source_updated_date | 36% | ||
| Source record IDsource_record_id | source_record_id | 100% | ||
| Platform record IDrecord_id | record_id | 100% | ||
| Source URLsource_url | source_url | 100% | ||
| Platform page linknot in our file | not in our file | |||
| Notes / clearancenotes, security_clearance | notes, security_clearance | 11% | ||
| AI or generated summarynot in our file | not in our file |
Low fill means few agencies publish that field. We do not fill it from guesses.
What our file adds
Expiring-contract lists
12,146 contracts in force. 12,006 carry the contracting officer's small-business call.
Who won past forecasts
The winner, date, amount and contract number on 1,005 awarded forecasts.
Security clearance
Facility and personnel clearance as its own column, on 861 rows.
Small-business specialists
Name or email on 16,423 rows. HigherGov shows an email only.
The agency's own wording
Every date and value read from an agency file keeps the agency's text beside it.
Incumbents filled from USAspending
10,513 rows had only a contract number. USAspending names the contractor.
What they have and we do not
- Analyst notes and calls to contracting offices (GovWin)
- AI summaries of each forecast (HigherGov, GovTribe)
- eBuy task orders (GovTribe Pro, HigherGov)
- Contacts databases of agency and vendor people
- State and local opportunities
- Saved-search alerts and a web app
If your team wants a tool to log into every day, buy one of theirs. If you want the forecasts in your own CRM or spreadsheet, buy the file.
Questions
Is this a GovWin alternative?
For the forecast data, partly. GovWin's strength is its analysts. They write notes on each buy and call contracting offices. We have none of that. We have the agencies' own forecast files, the incumbent and an award check, in one CSV.
Is this a GovTribe or HigherGov alternative?
If you want the forecasts as a file, yes. Our file has 30 of HigherGov's 31 forecast fields and 21 of GovTribe's 25. 18 and 14 of them are filled on half our rows or more. Both sell a web app with search, alerts and AI tools. We sell a download.
How fresh is it?
File built on October 26, 2026. Pulled fresh from every source when you buy. If the file is more than 2 days old, your purchase starts a rebuild. Your download link then serves the new file.
Does it include task orders?
It includes planned task and delivery orders when an agency forecast lists them. It does not include eBuy requests. GSA shows those only to schedule holders. GovTribe Pro and HigherGov import them.
What does “No award found” mean?
The expected award date has passed and the check found no matching award. It does not mean the buy is still open. The award may sit under another title or office, or be a recent Defense award that has not reached USAspending yet.
Does it cover state and local buys?
No. It covers federal agencies only. HigherGov and GovTribe both cover state and local bids.